Sunday, April 20, 2014

Who Moved My Small-Cap Fund?

Actively-managed mutual funds have a lot of flexibility over the types of investments they hold. One problem with this flexibility is that it often leads to style drift, which is a term used to describe a gradual change in investment style within a fund. Style drift is important to understand since a change in the investment style of a single fund could change the expected risk and return of your overall portfolio.

I wasn’t concerned about style drift when I first started investing. I believed that a good active manager could outperform the market by changing investment styles as the market changed. However, after years of trial and error - and stumbling across the efficient-market hypothesis in 2005 - and realized that style matters much more than skill.*

Avoiding style drift is one of the many reasons investors select index funds over actively-managed funds. Since index funds track specific indexes, their holdings and investment strategies are completely transparent. Managers of index funds aren’t able to change the investment style since they are required to replicate the performance of the index they follow.

For example, an index fund that tracks the S&P 500 Growth Index isn’t going to start to invest in emerging market stocks because the manager thinks they look cheap relative to US stocks. Likewise, a mutual fund that tracks the MSCI World ex-USA All Cap Index isn’t going to hold US stocks. With a portfolio of index funds, you’re in control of how much exposure you have in a specific asset class. And not having to worry about style drift in your portfolio helps you keep the hot side hot, and the cool side cool.

Okay. So now that I’ve told you that you don’t have to worry about style drift in your index funds, I’m now going to explain why you have to worry about style drift in your index funds. Confused? I’ll explain.

Let’s consider US small-cap stock indexes to illustrate how an index fund might drift off course. There are several indexes that track US small-cap stocks, and each individual index has a specific set of criteria to determine what constitutes a “small-cap stock.” The stocks of companies that meet the criteria will be added to the index, and the mutual funds that track that index will be required to buy that company’s stock. In the same manner, index funds have to sell stocks that are removed from an index.

Instead of having strict breakpoints to define “small-cap”, many indexes have bands that allow the index to continue to hold a stock after it migrates out of the small-cap portion of the market. This happens when a small company continues to grow and enters the “mid-cap” area of the market. The basic idea behind bands in an index is to reduce turnover and trading costs for the mutual funds that track that index.

Certain indexes from the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) use bands instead of breakpoints. (You can read more about banding and migration at the CRSP website here.) Vanguard recently changed the indexes that many of their funds follow to CRSP indexes, and this index change resulted in a style change for the Vanguard Small-Cap Index mutual fund.

The table to the left shows the percentage of stocks in the Vanguard Small-Cap Index fund that were considered large-cap (L), mid-cap (M), and small-cap (S) as of 2/28/14. At that time, only 54% of the fund’s holdings were classified as small-cap stocks.

Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA) is another provider of index funds. Unlike Vanguard, DFA offers funds only through approved financial advisors. After years of following their research, I was recently granted access to DFA funds for myself and for clients. We’re now in the process of updating client portfolios to include DFA funds where appropriate.

The table to the right shows the holdings of the DFA US Small-Cap mutual fund as of 2/28/14. The fund held 91% of its assets in small-cap stocks, much more than the Vanguard fund that tracks the same segment of the market.

The average market cap (i.e. company size) of the two funds helps illustrates how different they are. Vanguard Small-Cap had an average market cap of $2.87 billion on 2/28/14. The market cap for the DFA fund at that time was $1.45 billion, or 49.5% smaller than the Vanguard Small-Cap fund.

So when it comes to US small-cap stock funds, my opinion is that DFA US Small-Cap is a much better option than Vanguard Small-Cap. Both are index funds, but the DFA fund keeps a much stronger exposure to small-cap stocks and their potential to outperform larger stocks over time.

*A few years ago I gave some background into my transition away from active management in a post titled “To Index, Or Not To Index: That Is The Question.”

To learn more about our company - and find out how we are different from other financial advisors - call (210) 587-6433 or visit www.VannoyAdvisoryGroup.com.